Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000111 0.000123 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000179 0.000198
2025-12-14 0.000088 0.000103 0.000121 0.000144 0.000171 0.000202 0.000243
2025-12-21 0.000072 0.000089 0.000111 0.000138 0.000174 0.000218 0.000279
2025-12-28 0.000064 0.000082 0.000106 0.000139 0.000183 0.000241 0.000325
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000077 0.000103 0.000140 0.000192 0.000264 0.000373
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000071 0.000098 0.000138 0.000196 0.000280 0.000413
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000138 0.000204 0.000301 0.000462
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000063 0.000092 0.000136 0.000207 0.000315 0.000502
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000060 0.000089 0.000136 0.000212 0.000334 0.000550
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000085 0.000134 0.000214 0.000346 0.000589
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000053 0.000082 0.000131 0.000215 0.000356 0.000625
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000051 0.000081 0.000132 0.000222 0.000379 0.000686
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000134 0.000231 0.000407 0.000763
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000131 0.000232 0.000420 0.000813
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000044 0.000073 0.000126 0.000229 0.000424 0.000846
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000042 0.000071 0.000127 0.000236 0.000448 0.000924
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000128 0.000243 0.000474 0.001010
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000068 0.000126 0.000245 0.000490 0.001074
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000067 0.000127 0.000251 0.000516 0.001167
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000125 0.000253 0.000530 0.001234
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000064 0.000125 0.000257 0.000553 0.001324
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000122 0.000257 0.000565 0.001391
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000120 0.000257 0.000575 0.001452